Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Oct 13, 2016 12:57:26 GMT -5
That crowd wasn't from West Palm, more like Riviera Beach.
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Post by Mond the Bagnificient on Oct 13, 2016 13:02:50 GMT -5
Coupled with Democrats' advantage in the Electoral College, the slate of polls suggests that only an extremely narrow path to the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency remains for Trump, who has staked his candidacy in part on flipping some traditionally Democratic states. Additionally, a Republican National Committee source told CNN's Sara Murray Thursday that the Trump campaign decided to pull resources from the swing state of Virginia, essentially conceding the state to Clinton. According to CNN's latest battleground map, Trump would need to win one of these states -- Michigan, Wisconsin, or Pennsylvania -- to get more than the 270 electoral votes needed for victory, even if he also captured Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Iowa, Nevada, and every other state Mitt Romney won in 2012. As was the case in Pennsylvania, the Michigan poll found that likely voters were turned-off by the Trump tape. One-quarter of Republicans said Trump should drop out of the presidential race as a result of the recording, and the poll showed Clinton's lead expanded from 7 points in late September largely because of a collapse in Trump's support, rather than a surge for her. I've been saying the same damn thing for 3 weeks now. He's not winning Michigan, and PA is doutbful- this is the road to 270 for him - assuming he holds the Romney states (including Utah, which is shaky), all of his effort must be in FL, NC and 2 out of 3 of Nevada (leaning red), Wisconsin (was red...), or Colorado (I think leaning blue now). Assuming Nevada goes red, and Clinton pulled out of Colorado, I would spend all my $$$$ on Colorado, FL and NC. Forget Wisconsin (Paul Ryan supporters may fuck him).  Still not impossible. |
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Post by Ff2 on Oct 13, 2016 13:05:43 GMT -5
Wisconsin looks shaky now... and if he loses the Mormons, it's over Johnny. Iowa, Ohio and Nevada are still red. Are you drunk? OHIO: POLL TRUMP (R) CLINTON (D) OTHERS (O) LEAD Baldwin Wallace University 10/9-10/11 38 48 – Clinton +10UPI/CVOTER 10/2-10/9 46 50 4 Clinton +4CBS/YouGov 10/5-10/7 42 46 9 Clinton +4PPP (D) 10/5-10/6 43 44 7 Clinton +1TargetSmart/William and Mary 10/3-10/6 40 43 11 Clinton +3
POLL
TRUMP
(R)
CLINTON
(D)
OTHERS
(O)
LEAD
Clarity (D-End Citizens United)
10/10-10/11
43 43 6 Tie
PPP (D-Cortez Masto)
10/10-10/11
43 47 – Clinton +4
UPI/CVOTER
10/2-10/9
45 48 7 Clinton +3
Hart (D)/UNLV
9/27-10/2
41 44 9 Clinton +3
Suffolk
9/27-9/29
38 44 12 Clinton +6
Wisconsin
POLL
TRUMP
(R)
CLINTON
(D)
OTHERS
(O)
LEAD
Marquette Law School
10/6-10/9
42 46 8 Clinton +4
UPI/CVOTER
10/2-10/9
46 51 4 Clinton +5
CBS/YouGov
10/5-10/7
39 43 7 Clinton +4
Ipsos/Reuters
9/16-10/6
42 46 – Clinton +4
Loras College
10/4-10/5
37 47 7 Clinton +10
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Oct 13, 2016 13:07:31 GMT -5
Coupled with Democrats' advantage in the Electoral College, the slate of polls suggests that only an extremely narrow path to the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency remains for Trump, who has staked his candidacy in part on flipping some traditionally Democratic states. Additionally, a Republican National Committee source told CNN's Sara Murray Thursday that the Trump campaign decided to pull resources from the swing state of Virginia, essentially conceding the state to Clinton. According to CNN's latest battleground map, Trump would need to win one of these states -- Michigan, Wisconsin, or Pennsylvania -- to get more than the 270 electoral votes needed for victory, even if he also captured Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Iowa, Nevada, and every other state Mitt Romney won in 2012. As was the case in Pennsylvania, the Michigan poll found that likely voters were turned-off by the Trump tape. One-quarter of Republicans said Trump should drop out of the presidential race as a result of the recording, and the poll showed Clinton's lead expanded from 7 points in late September largely because of a collapse in Trump's support, rather than a surge for her. I've been saying the same damn thing for 3 weeks now. He's not winning Michigan, and PA is doutbful- this is the road to 270 for him - assuming he holds the Romney states (including Utah, which is shaky), all of his effort must be in FL, NC and 2 out of 3 of Nevada (leaning red), Wisconsin (was red...), or Colorado (I think leaning blue now). Assuming Nevada goes red, and Clinton pulled out of Colorado, I would spend all my $$$$ on Colorado, FL and NC. Forget Wisconsin (Paul Ryan supporters may fuck him). Still not impossible. |
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Post by The Tax Returns Are in Kenya on Oct 13, 2016 13:09:49 GMT -5
As usual, Clinton's best ally is Trump himself
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Post by Mond the Bagnificient on Oct 13, 2016 13:10:47 GMT -5
Wisconsin looks shaky now... and if he loses the Mormons, it's over Johnny. Iowa, Ohio and Nevada are still red. Are you drunk? OHIO: POLL TRUMP (R) CLINTON (D) OTHERS (O) LEAD Baldwin Wallace University 10/9-10/11 38 48 – Clinton +10UPI/CVOTER 10/2-10/9 46 50 4 Clinton +4CBS/YouGov 10/5-10/7 42 46 9 Clinton +4PPP (D) 10/5-10/6 43 44 7 Clinton +1TargetSmart/William and Mary 10/3-10/6 40 43 11 Clinton +3
POLL
TRUMP
(R)
CLINTON
(D)
OTHERS
(O)
LEAD
Clarity (D-End Citizens United)
10/10-10/11
43 43 6 Tie
PPP (D-Cortez Masto)
10/10-10/11
43 47 – Clinton +4
UPI/CVOTER
10/2-10/9
45 48 7 Clinton +3
Hart (D)/UNLV
9/27-10/2
41 44 9 Clinton +3
Suffolk
9/27-9/29
38 44 12 Clinton +6
Wisconsin
POLL
TRUMP
(R)
CLINTON
(D)
OTHERS
(O)
LEAD
Marquette Law School
10/6-10/9
42 46 8 Clinton +4
UPI/CVOTER
10/2-10/9
46 51 4 Clinton +5
CBS/YouGov
10/5-10/7
39 43 7 Clinton +4
Ipsos/Reuters
9/16-10/6
42 46 – Clinton +4
Loras College
10/4-10/5
37 47 7 Clinton +10
RCP average for Ohio is Clinton +1.. nice to cherry pick your polls. Wisconsin is lost. |
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Post by The Tax Returns Are in Kenya on Oct 13, 2016 13:14:21 GMT -5
RCP average for Ohio is Clinton +1.. nice to cherry pick your polls. You said it was still red |
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Post by Mond the Bagnificient on Oct 13, 2016 13:17:02 GMT -5
RCP average for Ohio is Clinton +1.. nice to cherry pick your polls. You said it was still red That's a virtually tie, and since it was red for the last 2 months, I think it is still red. |
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Post by The Tax Returns Are in Kenya on Oct 13, 2016 13:20:48 GMT -5
You said it was still red That's a virtually tie, and since it was red for the last 2 months, I think it is still red. Clinging to your guns and religion |
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Post by Mond the Bagnificient on Oct 13, 2016 13:22:39 GMT -5
That's a virtually tie, and since it was red for the last 2 months, I think it is still red. Clinging to your guns and religion If polls decided elections, we wouldn't need elections. |
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Post by The Tax Returns Are in Kenya on Oct 13, 2016 13:23:22 GMT -5
Wisconsin looks shaky now... and if he loses the Mormons, it's over Johnny. Iowa, Ohio and Nevada are still red. Are you drunk? OHIO: POLL TRUMP (R) CLINTON (D) OTHERS (O) LEAD Baldwin Wallace University 10/9-10/11 38 48 – Clinton +10UPI/CVOTER 10/2-10/9 46 50 4 Clinton +4CBS/YouGov 10/5-10/7 42 46 9 Clinton +4PPP (D) 10/5-10/6 43 44 7 Clinton +1TargetSmart/William and Mary 10/3-10/6 40 43 11 Clinton +3
POLL
TRUMP
(R)
CLINTON
(D)
OTHERS
(O)
LEAD
Clarity (D-End Citizens United)
10/10-10/11
43 43 6 Tie
PPP (D-Cortez Masto)
10/10-10/11
43 47 – Clinton +4
UPI/CVOTER
10/2-10/9
45 48 7 Clinton +3
Hart (D)/UNLV
9/27-10/2
41 44 9 Clinton +3
Suffolk
9/27-9/29
38 44 12 Clinton +6
Wisconsin
POLL
TRUMP
(R)
CLINTON
(D)
OTHERS
(O)
LEAD
Marquette Law School
10/6-10/9
42 46 8 Clinton +4
UPI/CVOTER
10/2-10/9
46 51 4 Clinton +5
CBS/YouGov
10/5-10/7
39 43 7 Clinton +4
Ipsos/Reuters
9/16-10/6
42 46 – Clinton +4
Loras College
10/4-10/5
37 47 7 Clinton +10
What state is the middle poll |
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Post by Ff2 on Oct 13, 2016 13:25:38 GMT -5
You said it was still red That's a virtually tie, and since it was red for the last 2 months, I think it is still red. You've heard of the word "trending" right? |
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Post by Ff2 on Oct 13, 2016 13:29:36 GMT -5
Are you drunk? OHIO: POLL TRUMP (R) CLINTON (D) OTHERS (O) LEAD Baldwin Wallace University 10/9-10/11 38 48 – Clinton +10UPI/CVOTER 10/2-10/9 46 50 4 Clinton +4CBS/YouGov 10/5-10/7 42 46 9 Clinton +4PPP (D) 10/5-10/6 43 44 7 Clinton +1TargetSmart/William and Mary 10/3-10/6 40 43 11 Clinton +3
POLL
TRUMP
(R)
CLINTON
(D)
OTHERS
(O)
LEAD
Clarity (D-End Citizens United)
10/10-10/11
43 43 6 Tie
PPP (D-Cortez Masto)
10/10-10/11
43 47 – Clinton +4
UPI/CVOTER
10/2-10/9
45 48 7 Clinton +3
Hart (D)/UNLV
9/27-10/2
41 44 9 Clinton +3
Suffolk
9/27-9/29
38 44 12 Clinton +6
Wisconsin
POLL
TRUMP
(R)
CLINTON
(D)
OTHERS
(O)
LEAD
Marquette Law School
10/6-10/9
42 46 8 Clinton +4
UPI/CVOTER
10/2-10/9
46 51 4 Clinton +5
CBS/YouGov
10/5-10/7
39 43 7 Clinton +4
Ipsos/Reuters
9/16-10/6
42 46 – Clinton +4
Loras College
10/4-10/5
37 47 7 Clinton +10
RCP average for Ohio is Clinton +1.. nice to cherry pick your polls. Wisconsin is lost. I literally just copied what ever came up on search. I thought you said Wisconsin was going his way? |
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Post by Ff2 on Oct 13, 2016 13:31:27 GMT -5
Are you drunk? OHIO: POLL TRUMP (R) CLINTON (D) OTHERS (O) LEAD Baldwin Wallace University 10/9-10/11 38 48 – Clinton +10UPI/CVOTER 10/2-10/9 46 50 4 Clinton +4CBS/YouGov 10/5-10/7 42 46 9 Clinton +4PPP (D) 10/5-10/6 43 44 7 Clinton +1TargetSmart/William and Mary 10/3-10/6 40 43 11 Clinton +3
POLL
TRUMP
(R)
CLINTON
(D)
OTHERS
(O)
LEAD
Clarity (D-End Citizens United)
10/10-10/11
43 43 6 Tie
PPP (D-Cortez Masto)
10/10-10/11
43 47 – Clinton +4
UPI/CVOTER
10/2-10/9
45 48 7 Clinton +3
Hart (D)/UNLV
9/27-10/2
41 44 9 Clinton +3
Suffolk
9/27-9/29
38 44 12 Clinton +6
Wisconsin
POLL
TRUMP
(R)
CLINTON
(D)
OTHERS
(O)
LEAD
Marquette Law School
10/6-10/9
42 46 8 Clinton +4
UPI/CVOTER
10/2-10/9
46 51 4 Clinton +5
CBS/YouGov
10/5-10/7
39 43 7 Clinton +4
Ipsos/Reuters
9/16-10/6
42 46 – Clinton +4
Loras College
10/4-10/5
37 47 7 Clinton +10
What state is the middle poll Nevada, sorry |
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Post by Mond the Bagnificient on Oct 13, 2016 13:33:42 GMT -5
No, I said Wisconsin was red... I think it's lost now with the feud with Ryan. Which is a shame because he wouldn't need Colorado, which is leaning blue now.
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