|
|
Post by thebigragu on Oct 25, 2016 12:05:48 GMT -5
Plust the idd/tipp poll as well the most accurate now im betting
|
|
|
|
Post by thebigragu on Oct 25, 2016 12:10:24 GMT -5
Early voting suggests tight race in key states despite Clinton camp boast
Hillary Clinton’s campaign is touting some “eye-popping” advantages in early voting, in an apparent effort to energize Democratic voters, but preliminary figures suggest the race remains tighter than her aides acknowledge.
The preliminary numbers appear to show Clinton, the Democratic presidential nominee, with an edge in several of the roughly 10 battleground states that will decide the 2016 White House race.
“We're seeing eye-popping vote-by-mail application numbers,” Clinton campaign manager Robby Mook said on “Fox News Sunday.”
In Arizona and North Carolina, for example, more registered Democrats than Republicans have indeed cast early ballots.
But such numbers are open to interpretation, including how many Democrats in those two states voted for Clinton.
Meanwhile, early data shows Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump with potential advantages of his own in battleground states Florida, Ohio and elsewhere.
Predictions Map
See the Fox News 2016 battleground prediction map and make your own election projections.
See Predictions Map →
Only some of the 37 states that allow early voting make public the number of registered Democrats and Republicans who requested early ballots and voted early, so final numbers won’t be known until Election Day.
Still, the Clinton campaign seemed bolstered in recent days by mail-in balloting in battleground Florida, where in-person voting started Monday in a majority of counties.
Early Florida numbers showed about an equal number of Democrats and Republicans had requested a record 3.1 million early ballots, compared with 2008 when Republicans led 49-to-32 percent and President Obama still won the state.
However, registered Republicans now have a slight lead -- 1.8 percentage points -- in the nearly 1 million ballots received by Friday.
Trump, on a swing through Florida on Monday, made another push for supporters to cast their votes now.
“You got to get out there. Who’s voted already?” Trump asked a cheering crowd in St. Augustine. “If you’re not feeling well on Nov. 8, we don’t want to take a chance.”
Clinton said in battleground North Carolina on Sunday: “From now until Nov. 5, you can vote early. It’s a big deal. You get to vote today, right after this event.”
Mook also pointed out Sunday that in Nevada, officials saw a “record turnout” in Democratic stronghold Clark County, which includes Las Vegas.
However, Trump has throughout the campaign appeared to have the support of some potential crossover voters, including Latino immigrants who back his tough message on illegal immigration.
A recent CNN/ORC poll, for example, found 33 percent of registered Latino voters in Nevada support Trump, compared to 54 percent for Clinton.
The Clinton campaign declined Monday to provide details on the states to which Mook and vice-presidential nominee Tim Kaine referred Sunday.
Kaine told NBC’s “Meet the Press” that the campaign “like(s) the early voting activity and the absentee-ballot requests coming in.”
Kendra Stewart, College of Charleston political science professor, said Monday that Kaine and Mook are “doing exactly what they should be doing by trying to use this as an opportunity to create enthusiasm within the party in the hopes of a bandwagon effect.”
However, she cautioned about the effort perhaps “leaving some Democratic voters less motivated to vote if they feel like their candidate doesn’t really need them” and giving the Trump campaign the opportunity to use the underdog strategy to try to rally supporters to get out and vote.
Elliott Fullmer, a Randolph-Macon College political science professor, suggested either camp could play up select early-vote trends.
“I don’t think it would be a surprise for a campaign to think any positive momentum would play well,” Fullmer said Monday. “And the more they can discuss an advantage in early voting, they will.”
According to the University of Florida’s U.S. Elections Project, roughly 6 million Americans have already cast early votes, which do not include absentee ballots.
More than 46 million people are expected to vote before Election Day -- or as much as 40 percent of all votes cast.
The District of Columbia also allows early voting. Included in the 37 states that allow early voting are Colorado, Oregon and Washington, which have only mail-in balloting.
Clinton holds a 6 percentage point lead over Trump in national polls, according to the RealClearPolitcs average.
Clinton -- who has been the frontrunner for the entire race -- also has leads in battlegrounds states New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and Virginia.
Trump leads in battlegrounds Georgia, Iowa, Missouri and Ohio.
Though neither Georgia nor Ohio break down early balloting by party affiliation, Trump appears to have an advantage in both states.
In Ohio, such requests are down 10 percent among black voters, who in recent decades have tended to vote for Democrats. And requests among Ohio’s increasing white population, a voting bloc in which Trump appears to do well, is up 3 percentage points, to 91 percent.
In Georgia, ballot requests and returns among black voters trail 2012 levels.
The Associated Press contributed to this report.
|
|
|
|
Post by shakin on Oct 25, 2016 12:38:25 GMT -5
they're fucking stealing it with rigged machines, already happening in early voting. accounts coming out of texas are ridiculous. soros-provided voting machines in all the swing states....what a fucking joke.
if everything were on the level -- the media, vote counting, etc., trump would make reagan's landslide victory look like a photo finish
if she fucking steals this she'll have no choice but to make this a police state right quick
"the tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants" t. jeff
|
|
|
|
Post by DDNYjets on Oct 25, 2016 12:42:57 GMT -5
Yeah but hes down 12 when you sample +15 democrats which is double the number Barry got in 2008. Hillary will get more turnout that Obama ever did.
A lot of people have died between 2008 and now.
|
|
|
|
Post by thebigragu on Oct 25, 2016 13:01:19 GMT -5
Hes going to Win and honestly I dont even think its going to be close. IT makes me laugh they still have florida leaning democrat. THis is the biggest fuckinh hoax ive ever seen. I mean you see this shit in court and in jail when you are a convict but this is just LOL
|
|
|
|
Post by shakin on Oct 25, 2016 13:43:25 GMT -5
Hes going to Win and honestly I dont even think its going to be close. IT makes me laugh they still have florida leaning democrat. THis is the biggest fuckinh hoax ive ever seen. I mean you see this shit in court and in jail when you are a convict but this is just LOL the vote rigging with the machines is so fucking blatant though, and nobody will call them on it. it's not like they're grabbing a small percentage and hoping no one will notice, they're just blatantly switching votes |
|
|
|
Post by Ff2 on Oct 25, 2016 13:48:51 GMT -5
I thought the polls were phony?
Are the polls accurate now?
I cant keep up.
|
|
|
|
Post by The Tax Returns Are in Kenya on Oct 25, 2016 14:00:49 GMT -5
I thought the polls were phony? Are the polls accurate now? I cant keep up. You know how this works. If Chump wins the election is fair. If Hillaria wins, it's fixed |
|
|
|
Post by The Tax Returns Are in Kenya on Oct 25, 2016 14:01:37 GMT -5
This is bondjbond's cue to thank you for telling us what we already know (except for Ff2 of course)
|
|
|
|
Post by shakin on Oct 25, 2016 14:03:44 GMT -5
I thought the polls were phony? Are the polls accurate now? I cant keep up. You know how this works. If Chump wins the election is fair. If Hillaria wins, it's fixed 100% wrong no matter what the outcome it's been a horribly unfair process it just comes down to whether all the bullshit was enough to give it to hillary |
|
|
|
Post by rangerous on Oct 25, 2016 15:57:52 GMT -5
there's only one poll that matters and that's the one on 8 november. but remember it's not how many votes one gets. it's who counts the votes that matters.
|
|
|
|
Post by 2foolish on Oct 25, 2016 17:10:31 GMT -5
jn all seriousness,as a comic i think it gonna be closer than people think...
|
|
|
|
Post by thebigragu on Oct 25, 2016 18:19:33 GMT -5
Hes going to Win and honestly I dont even think its going to be close. IT makes me laugh they still have florida leaning democrat. THis is the biggest fuckinh hoax ive ever seen. I mean you see this shit in court and in jail when you are a convict but this is just LOL the vote rigging with the machines is so fucking blatant though, and nobody will call them on it. it's not like they're grabbing a small percentage and hoping no one will notice, they're just blatantly switching votes Caught a dozen times today at least. Ill update tonight in top thread. |
|
|
|
Post by The Tax Returns Are in Kenya on Oct 25, 2016 19:17:33 GMT -5
You know how this works. If Chump wins the election is fair. If Hillaria wins, it's fixed 100% wrong no matter what the outcome it's been a horribly unfair process it just comes down to whether all the bullshit was enough to give it to Hillarity Usually, most candidates would have killed for all the free air time Trump got. It definitely was unfair in that regard. They basically created him as a candidate. Like, ABC doing phone interviews every week on Sunday morning, week after week. No other candidate got that treatment. Cause he's just too important and busy to get in front of a camera, like everyone else. It's not the media's fault he provided them with so much juicy material. Trump got $2B worth of free media this election cycle, the next candidate wasn't even close www.nytimes.com/2016/03/16/upshot/measuring-donald-trumps-mammoth-advantage-in-free-media.html?_r=0Hey, what does everyone think about this new report of Trump providing underage models and cocaine for parties at Trump tower, and attended? What's the rationalization for this one? www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2016/10/24/inside-donald-trump-s-one-stop-parties-attendees-recall-cocaine-and-very-young-models.html |
|
|
|
Post by shakin on Oct 25, 2016 19:23:41 GMT -5
i don't know. was it the same brand of blow barack obama railed off the boner of his bf? were the girls anything like the tweens bubba raped on jeff epstein's orgy island? let me know |
|
