Post by Trades on Mar 14, 2017 9:51:33 GMT -5
wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2017/03/lindzen-personal-paoc-explanation-final.pdf
The below is the text from a letter to the President by Richard S. Lindzen, Professor Emeritus of Atmospheric Sciences
at MIT. I think it is pretty interesting. Go to the link for the nicely formatted PDF.
The below is the text from a letter to the President by Richard S. Lindzen, Professor Emeritus of Atmospheric Sciences
at MIT. I think it is pretty interesting. Go to the link for the nicely formatted PDF.
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Room 54-1724
Cambridge, MA 02139
Office (617) 253-2432
home (617) 332-4342
Email rlindzen@mit.edu
March 9, 2017
President Donald Trump
The White House
Washington, DC
Dear Mr. President:
On 2 March, 2017, members of the MIT Program in Atmospheres, Oceans and Climate (PAOC)
sent a public letter to the White House, contesting the Petition I circulated. The Petition, signed
by over 330 scientists from around the world so far, called for governments to withdraw from the
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC).
Since MIT’s administration has made the climate issue a major focus for the Institute, with
PAOC playing a central role, it is not surprising that the department would object to any deemphasis.
But the PAOC letter shows very clearly the wisdom of James Madison’s admonition,
in the Federalist, 10:
“No man is allowed to be a judge in his own cause, because his interest would certainly bias his
judgment, and, not improbably, corrupt his integrity. With equal, nay with greater reason, a
body of men are unfit to be both judges and parties at the same time.”
For far too long, one body of men, establishment climate scientists, has been permitted to be
judges and parties on what the “risks to the Earth system associated with increasing levels of
carbon dioxide” really are.
Let me explain in somewhat greater detail why we call for withdrawal from the UNFCCC.
The UNFCCC was established twenty five years ago to find scientific support for dangers from
increasing carbon dioxide. While this has led to generous and rapidly increased support for the
field, the purported dangers remain hypothetical, model-based projections. By contrast, the
benefits of increasing CO2 and modest warming are clearer than ever, and they are supported by
dramatic satellite images of a greening Earth.
We note that:
The UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) no longer claims a greater
likelihood of significant as opposed to negligible future warming,
It has long been acknowledged by the IPCC that climate change prior to the 1960’s could not
have been due to anthropogenic greenhouse gases. Yet, pre-1960 instrumentally observed
temperatures show many warming episodes, similar to the one since 1960, for example, from
1915 to 1950, and from 1850 to 1890. None of these could have been caused by an increase in
atmospheric CO2,
Model projections of warming during recent decades have greatly exceeded what has been
observed,
The modelling community has openly acknowledged that the ability of existing models to
simulate past climates is due to numerous arbitrary tuning adjustments,
Observations show no statistically valid trends in flooding or drought, and no meaningful
acceleration whatsoever of pre-existing long term sea level rise (about 6 inches per century)
worldwide,
Current carbon dioxide levels, around 400 parts per million are still very small compared to the
averages over geological history, when thousands of parts per million prevailed, and when life
flourished on land and in the oceans.
Calls to limit carbon dioxide emissions are even less persuasive today than 25 years ago. Future
research should focus on dispassionate, high-quality climate science, not on efforts to prop up an
increasingly frayed narrative of “carbon pollution.” Until scientific research is unfettered from
the constraints of the policy-driven UNFCCC, the research community will fail in its obligation
to the public that pays the bills.
I hope these remarks help to explain why the over 300 original signers of the Petion (and
additional scientists are joining them every day) have called for withdrawal from the UNFCCC.
Respectfully yours,
Richard S. Lindzen, Professor Emeritus of Atmospheric Sciences
SUPPORTING SIGNERS:
Most of signers of the Petition, agree with my remarks above. In the limited time available to
prepare the letter, it has been reviewed and approved by the following:
ABDUSSAMATOV, Habibullo Ismailovich: (Dr. sci., Phys. and Math. Sciences. ); Head of
space research of the Sun sector at the Pulkovo observatory, head of the project The Lunar
Observatory, St. Petersburg, (Russian Federation).
ALEXANDER, Ralph B.: (Ph.D. ,Physics, University of Oxford ); Former Associate Professor,
Wayne State University, Detroit, author of Global Warming False Alarm (2012).
BASTARDI, Joseph: Chief Meteorologist, Weatherbell Analytics.
BRIGGS, William M.: (Ph.D., Statistics & Philosophy of Science); Author of Uncertainty: The
Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics.
CLOUGH, Charles: (MS., Atmospheric Science); Founder and Retired Chief of the US Army
Atmospheric Effects Team, Aberdeen Proving Ground, MD, Retired LtCol USAF (Res) Weather
Officer.
DOIRON, Harold H.: (Ph.D., Mechanical Engineering, University of Houston 1970 ); Retired
VP Engineering, InDyne, Inc.; Senior Manager, McDonnell Douglas Space Systems; and former
NASA Apollo, Skylab and Space Shuttle Engineer Chairman, The Right Climate Stuff Research
Team, composed of NASA manned space program retirees.
EASTERBROOK, Donald J.: (Ph.D.); Professor Emeritus of Geology at Western Washington
University; former president of the Quaternary Geology and Geomorphology Division of GSA,
Associate Editor of the GSA Bulletin for 15 years, and many other professional activities. He
published four books and eight professional papers in the past year.
FORBES, Vivian R.: (BSc., Applied Sciences); FAusIMM, FSIA, geologist, financial analyst
and pasture manager, author of many articles on climate, pollution, economic development and
hydrocarbons. (Australia).
HAPPER, William: (Ph.D., Physics); Cyrus Fogg Brackett Professor of Physics (emeritus)
Princeton University; Director of the Office of Energy Research, US Department of Energy,
1990-1993.
HAYDEN, Howard "Cork": (PhD.); Professor Emeritus, University of Connecticut.
IDSO, Craig: (PhD, B.S., Geography, Arizona State University, M.S.,Agronomy, the University
of Nebraska - Lincoln in 1996 ); Chairman of the board of the Center for the Study of Carbon
Dioxide and Global Change.
LEGATES, David R.: (PhD, Climatology, University of Delaware); Certified Consulting
Meterologist.
LUPO, Anthony: (Ph.D., Atmospheric Science); Professor of Atmospheric Science, University
of Missouri.
MARKÓ, István E.: (PhD,Organic Chemistry, Catholic University of Louvain); professor and
researcher of organic chemistry at the Catholic University of Louvain ( Belgium).
MOCKTON, Christopher: ; The Viscount Monckton of Brenchley (United Kingdom).
MOORE, Patrick: (PhD., Ecology, University of British Columbia, Honorary Doctorate of
Science, North Carolina State University); National Award for Nuclear Science and History
(Einstein Society).
NICHOLS, Rodney W.: (AB Physics, Harvard); Science and Technology policy Executive
Vice President emeritus Rockefeller University President and CEO emeritus, NY Academy of
Sciences Co-Founder CO2 Coalition.
SINGER, Fred S.: (Ph.D., Physics, Princeton University, BA, Electrical Engineering, Ohio State
University); professor emeritus of environmental science at the University of Virginia. He
directs the nonprofit Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP), which he founded in
1990 and incorporated in 1992 after retiring from the University of Virginia.
SOON, Willie: (PhD); Independent Scientist.
SPENCER, Roy W.: (Ph.D., Meteorology '81; M.S., Meteorology, '79; B.S., Atmospheric &
Oceanic Science, '78); Principal Research Scientist, University of Alabama in Huntsville; codeveloper
of method for satellite monitoring of global temperature; author of numerous papers
on climate and satellite meteorology.
STEWARD, H. Leighton: (MS., Geology); Environmentalist, No. 1 New York Times Best
Selling Author, Recipient numerous national environmental awards or directorships including
the EPA, Louisiana Nature Conservancy, Audubon Nature Institute, the National Petroleum
Council and the API. Former energy industry executive and chosen to represent industry on
Presidential Missions under both Democratic and Republican Administrations.
MOTL, Lubos: (PhD., Physics ); former high-energy theoretical physics junior faculty at
Harvard University (Czech Republic).
WYSMULLER, Thomas H.: (BA, Meteorology ); Ogunquit, Maine, NASA (Ret.); Chair,
Water Day 2013, UNESCO IHE Water Research Institute, Delft, The Netherlands; Chair,
Oceanographic Section, 2016 World Congress of Ocean, Qingdao China; NASA TRCS charter
member.
ZYBACH, Bob: (PhD., Environmental Sciences, Oregon State University); www.ORWW.org,
author of more than 100 popular articles and editorials regarding forest history, wildfire
mitigation, reforestation planning, and Indian burning practices.
Room 54-1724
Cambridge, MA 02139
Office (617) 253-2432
home (617) 332-4342
Email rlindzen@mit.edu
March 9, 2017
President Donald Trump
The White House
Washington, DC
Dear Mr. President:
On 2 March, 2017, members of the MIT Program in Atmospheres, Oceans and Climate (PAOC)
sent a public letter to the White House, contesting the Petition I circulated. The Petition, signed
by over 330 scientists from around the world so far, called for governments to withdraw from the
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC).
Since MIT’s administration has made the climate issue a major focus for the Institute, with
PAOC playing a central role, it is not surprising that the department would object to any deemphasis.
But the PAOC letter shows very clearly the wisdom of James Madison’s admonition,
in the Federalist, 10:
“No man is allowed to be a judge in his own cause, because his interest would certainly bias his
judgment, and, not improbably, corrupt his integrity. With equal, nay with greater reason, a
body of men are unfit to be both judges and parties at the same time.”
For far too long, one body of men, establishment climate scientists, has been permitted to be
judges and parties on what the “risks to the Earth system associated with increasing levels of
carbon dioxide” really are.
Let me explain in somewhat greater detail why we call for withdrawal from the UNFCCC.
The UNFCCC was established twenty five years ago to find scientific support for dangers from
increasing carbon dioxide. While this has led to generous and rapidly increased support for the
field, the purported dangers remain hypothetical, model-based projections. By contrast, the
benefits of increasing CO2 and modest warming are clearer than ever, and they are supported by
dramatic satellite images of a greening Earth.
We note that:
The UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) no longer claims a greater
likelihood of significant as opposed to negligible future warming,
It has long been acknowledged by the IPCC that climate change prior to the 1960’s could not
have been due to anthropogenic greenhouse gases. Yet, pre-1960 instrumentally observed
temperatures show many warming episodes, similar to the one since 1960, for example, from
1915 to 1950, and from 1850 to 1890. None of these could have been caused by an increase in
atmospheric CO2,
Model projections of warming during recent decades have greatly exceeded what has been
observed,
The modelling community has openly acknowledged that the ability of existing models to
simulate past climates is due to numerous arbitrary tuning adjustments,
Observations show no statistically valid trends in flooding or drought, and no meaningful
acceleration whatsoever of pre-existing long term sea level rise (about 6 inches per century)
worldwide,
Current carbon dioxide levels, around 400 parts per million are still very small compared to the
averages over geological history, when thousands of parts per million prevailed, and when life
flourished on land and in the oceans.
Calls to limit carbon dioxide emissions are even less persuasive today than 25 years ago. Future
research should focus on dispassionate, high-quality climate science, not on efforts to prop up an
increasingly frayed narrative of “carbon pollution.” Until scientific research is unfettered from
the constraints of the policy-driven UNFCCC, the research community will fail in its obligation
to the public that pays the bills.
I hope these remarks help to explain why the over 300 original signers of the Petion (and
additional scientists are joining them every day) have called for withdrawal from the UNFCCC.
Respectfully yours,
Richard S. Lindzen, Professor Emeritus of Atmospheric Sciences
SUPPORTING SIGNERS:
Most of signers of the Petition, agree with my remarks above. In the limited time available to
prepare the letter, it has been reviewed and approved by the following:
ABDUSSAMATOV, Habibullo Ismailovich: (Dr. sci., Phys. and Math. Sciences. ); Head of
space research of the Sun sector at the Pulkovo observatory, head of the project The Lunar
Observatory, St. Petersburg, (Russian Federation).
ALEXANDER, Ralph B.: (Ph.D. ,Physics, University of Oxford ); Former Associate Professor,
Wayne State University, Detroit, author of Global Warming False Alarm (2012).
BASTARDI, Joseph: Chief Meteorologist, Weatherbell Analytics.
BRIGGS, William M.: (Ph.D., Statistics & Philosophy of Science); Author of Uncertainty: The
Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics.
CLOUGH, Charles: (MS., Atmospheric Science); Founder and Retired Chief of the US Army
Atmospheric Effects Team, Aberdeen Proving Ground, MD, Retired LtCol USAF (Res) Weather
Officer.
DOIRON, Harold H.: (Ph.D., Mechanical Engineering, University of Houston 1970 ); Retired
VP Engineering, InDyne, Inc.; Senior Manager, McDonnell Douglas Space Systems; and former
NASA Apollo, Skylab and Space Shuttle Engineer Chairman, The Right Climate Stuff Research
Team, composed of NASA manned space program retirees.
EASTERBROOK, Donald J.: (Ph.D.); Professor Emeritus of Geology at Western Washington
University; former president of the Quaternary Geology and Geomorphology Division of GSA,
Associate Editor of the GSA Bulletin for 15 years, and many other professional activities. He
published four books and eight professional papers in the past year.
FORBES, Vivian R.: (BSc., Applied Sciences); FAusIMM, FSIA, geologist, financial analyst
and pasture manager, author of many articles on climate, pollution, economic development and
hydrocarbons. (Australia).
HAPPER, William: (Ph.D., Physics); Cyrus Fogg Brackett Professor of Physics (emeritus)
Princeton University; Director of the Office of Energy Research, US Department of Energy,
1990-1993.
HAYDEN, Howard "Cork": (PhD.); Professor Emeritus, University of Connecticut.
IDSO, Craig: (PhD, B.S., Geography, Arizona State University, M.S.,Agronomy, the University
of Nebraska - Lincoln in 1996 ); Chairman of the board of the Center for the Study of Carbon
Dioxide and Global Change.
LEGATES, David R.: (PhD, Climatology, University of Delaware); Certified Consulting
Meterologist.
LUPO, Anthony: (Ph.D., Atmospheric Science); Professor of Atmospheric Science, University
of Missouri.
MARKÓ, István E.: (PhD,Organic Chemistry, Catholic University of Louvain); professor and
researcher of organic chemistry at the Catholic University of Louvain ( Belgium).
MOCKTON, Christopher: ; The Viscount Monckton of Brenchley (United Kingdom).
MOORE, Patrick: (PhD., Ecology, University of British Columbia, Honorary Doctorate of
Science, North Carolina State University); National Award for Nuclear Science and History
(Einstein Society).
NICHOLS, Rodney W.: (AB Physics, Harvard); Science and Technology policy Executive
Vice President emeritus Rockefeller University President and CEO emeritus, NY Academy of
Sciences Co-Founder CO2 Coalition.
SINGER, Fred S.: (Ph.D., Physics, Princeton University, BA, Electrical Engineering, Ohio State
University); professor emeritus of environmental science at the University of Virginia. He
directs the nonprofit Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP), which he founded in
1990 and incorporated in 1992 after retiring from the University of Virginia.
SOON, Willie: (PhD); Independent Scientist.
SPENCER, Roy W.: (Ph.D., Meteorology '81; M.S., Meteorology, '79; B.S., Atmospheric &
Oceanic Science, '78); Principal Research Scientist, University of Alabama in Huntsville; codeveloper
of method for satellite monitoring of global temperature; author of numerous papers
on climate and satellite meteorology.
STEWARD, H. Leighton: (MS., Geology); Environmentalist, No. 1 New York Times Best
Selling Author, Recipient numerous national environmental awards or directorships including
the EPA, Louisiana Nature Conservancy, Audubon Nature Institute, the National Petroleum
Council and the API. Former energy industry executive and chosen to represent industry on
Presidential Missions under both Democratic and Republican Administrations.
MOTL, Lubos: (PhD., Physics ); former high-energy theoretical physics junior faculty at
Harvard University (Czech Republic).
WYSMULLER, Thomas H.: (BA, Meteorology ); Ogunquit, Maine, NASA (Ret.); Chair,
Water Day 2013, UNESCO IHE Water Research Institute, Delft, The Netherlands; Chair,
Oceanographic Section, 2016 World Congress of Ocean, Qingdao China; NASA TRCS charter
member.
ZYBACH, Bob: (PhD., Environmental Sciences, Oregon State University); www.ORWW.org,
author of more than 100 popular articles and editorials regarding forest history, wildfire
mitigation, reforestation planning, and Indian burning practices.