Post by The Tax Returns Are in Kenya on May 11, 2015 15:09:01 GMT -5
I think last year's team with no changes to the roster could play this year's schedule which doesn't have to face the league's best QB's, and end up at 6-10. With the additions in FA, the draft, and the easier schedule, they're only getting two more wins? And the Dolphins go 11-5? WLF?
You're probably thinking, "Who is this Schatz guy?" Well, last year at this time, he forecast a 6-10 mark for the Jets. That, too, was met with considerable skepticism because the popular belief was the Jets would build on their encouraging 8-8 finish in 2013 and contend for a playoff spot.
We all know what happened. They bottomed out at 4-12 and almost everybody got fired.
Once again, Schatz offers a caveat, saying: "When considering these numbers, remember that this is not the final, official Football Outsiders forecast for 2015, and some of these projections will change between now and the July publication of 'Football Outsiders Almanac 2015.'"
Evidently, Schatz -- or least his formula -- doesn't see the Jets, with all their offseason additions and changes, making a run at the New England Patriots. Time will tell. So will Roger Goodell. If the commissioner slams Tom Brady with a multiple-game suspension for his role in DeflateGate, it will have an impact on the standings.
Here's how Schatz sees the AFC East (SOS is strength of schedule):
New England Patriots: 11-5 (10.6 mean wins, SOS: 25)
Miami Dolphins: 11-5 (10.6 mean wins; SOS: 22)
Buffalo Bills: 8-8 (8.2 mean wins; SOS: 19)
New York Jets: 6-10 (5.8 mean wins; SOS: 20)
We all know what happened. They bottomed out at 4-12 and almost everybody got fired.
Once again, Schatz offers a caveat, saying: "When considering these numbers, remember that this is not the final, official Football Outsiders forecast for 2015, and some of these projections will change between now and the July publication of 'Football Outsiders Almanac 2015.'"
Evidently, Schatz -- or least his formula -- doesn't see the Jets, with all their offseason additions and changes, making a run at the New England Patriots. Time will tell. So will Roger Goodell. If the commissioner slams Tom Brady with a multiple-game suspension for his role in DeflateGate, it will have an impact on the standings.
Here's how Schatz sees the AFC East (SOS is strength of schedule):
New England Patriots: 11-5 (10.6 mean wins, SOS: 25)
Miami Dolphins: 11-5 (10.6 mean wins; SOS: 22)
Buffalo Bills: 8-8 (8.2 mean wins; SOS: 19)
New York Jets: 6-10 (5.8 mean wins; SOS: 20)
